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IMPORTANT NOTE:
In the process of performing system maintenance on July 3rd, the system suffered a complete system hard drive failure, which took the server down through late July 4th. Fortunately, complete backup files were available, but still it took until late on the 4th to physically replace the hard drive, replicate the operating system, and restore the data... we hope your holiday weekend has been more enjoyable!

Although all Strategies were restored, there is one technical anomaly you may notice. A few Strategies may have generated a new trade alert. Here is the reason why: Unfortunately, historical fund data is not set in stone and can be adjusted over time when stocks or funds make accounting adjustments at some later time. Normally, these adjustments are of no consequence because we freeze history over 5 days old. However, in this kind of restore, the complete trading history is recreated from scratch, and if the history of any of the candidate funds was changed even a tiny bit for any reason at all, it could result in a different momentum leader at some point, which then can affect the progressive tuning and, in the end, produce a different selection for July.

While this may sound terrible, it is not. It just means there is more than one sequence of selections that produces very similar results. Here is what to do: (A) just ignore the new trade alert and click the red Acknowledge Trade button and sync up next month, or (B) make the new trade to sync up now and then click the red Acknowledge Trade button.

Please contact me should you have any further questions at sjuds@sumgrowth.com

Have a great holiday weekend,
Scott Juds

Examples

True Sector Rotation® Strategies and Portfolios


   See Also:   Quick Tour  ↪  

Example Strategies Overview
A Strategy is simply a set of up to 12 mutual funds or ETFs selected to manage an investment account. For example, a Strategy may focus on country funds, sector funds, index funds, income producing funds, or conservative bonds and treasuries.  AlphaDroid's True Sector Rotation algorithm determines which one (and only one) of them to own next month. It's only by owning the trend leader and avoiding trend laggards that one can simultaneously improve returns and reduce risk.

Additionally, there are example Strategy-of-Strategies and Portfolio-of-Strategies in the tables below. A Strategy-of-Strategies (SOS) reduces the risk of hindsight bias by broadening the funnel of funds that contend for leadership. With an SOS you own only the best trending fund of the best trending Strategy. A Portfolio-of-Strategies reduces the remnant risk of individual Strategies in the same way ordinary diversification reduces risk within a fund. Closely examine the risk and return performance of each to understand the ways in which they can improve investment performance.



Std. ETFs

 
   ETF Sectors / Mixed  (no leverage)

ETF Mix - II
ETF Mix - I
ETF Power Mix - II
ETF Power Mix - I
ETF Kick Ass Mix
 
  ETF International / Conservative  (no leverage)

ETF U.S. Diversified
ETF World Regions
ETF Countries - iShares
ETF Dividend Bond Treasury
ETF Black Gold Hedge
 

Mutual Funds

 
  Fidelity Mutual Funds

Fidelity High Income-Bond
Fidelity International
Fidelity Select Funds - I
Fidelity Select Funds - iI
Fidelity Select Funds - iiI
 
  Vanguard  Mutual Funds

Vanguard Income, Bond
Vanguard US Diversified
Vanguard Sectors
Vanguard Mutuals Mix-1
Vanguard Mutuals Mix-2
 

401k, PERS, TSP

 
401(k) Company Plans

401k - Amazon
401k - Del Monte
401k - Kaiser Permanente
401k - Oracle
401k - Yahoo!
 
 PERS and TSP State and Federal Plans

Texas State 401k
New York State 457 DCP-1
Connecticut State 457b
Wash. State DRS Plan 3
TSP Thrift Savings Plan
 

Strategy-of-Strategies

What is a Strategy-of-Strategies? 
While a SectorSurfer Strategy selects the trend leader from among a set of candidates funds or stocks, a Strategy-of-Strategies (SOS) selects the trend leader from among a set of candidates Strategies. Thus, one owns the best performing fund of the best performing Strategy. The primary benefit of an SOS is to make sure that if the strategy you are using falters for any reason, the SOS will automatically switch you to an alternative Strategy that has not faltered. 

For example, the Strategy you own could get a "flat tire" for a while in the future because it didn't have the perfect set of candidate funds that provides a continuous sequence of power strokes. This can easily happen if you choose not to include a particular asset class or sector fund as one of the candidates because it had not performed well for a few years. No one can predict when political events or new discoveries will suddenly change the prospects for a previously poorly performing fund. Thus, a Strategy-of-Strategies is a form of insurance designed to reduce the risk of selection bias. Instructions for building your own Strategy-of-Strategies can be found HERE.
  Strategy-of-Strategies

SOS:  ETF Power Mix
SOS:  ETF Conservative
SOS:  Fidelity Global
SOS: Vanguard Global

Portfolio-of-Strategies

What is a Portfolio-of-Strategies? 
A Portfolio-of-Strategies utilizes the risk reduction sequence of (1) company diversification within funds to reduce volatility risks associated with individual companies; (2) serial diversification within Strategies to simultaneously boost returns and reduce risk by owning only trend leaders and avoiding trend laggards; and (3) Strategy diversification within a portfolio to reduce volatility associated with the sectors and asset classes owned by its Strategies. Build your own Portfolios on the Portfolios page (see main menu)
 Portfolio-of-Strategies

 ETF Aggressive
 ETF Conservative
 Fidelity Global
 Vanguard Global
Secret SOS



 Prudent Momentum Portfolio - Family

Overview of Prudent Momentum Family

The Prudent Momentum Portfolios may be imported directly into your account on the Portfolios page by clicking the "P" icon and searching the list for the portfolio of interest. You will be asked for your permission to automatically import the supporting strategies for the selected Portfolio.

Prudent Momentum 20:80
Prudent Momentum 40:60
Prudent Momentum 60:40
Prudent Momentum 80:20
Prudent Momentum 100:0

SecretSaus Fund Name Trades/Yr Log Chart BarChart BornOnDate Min Hold Last Trade 3Years 10Years AllYears chartClose StormGuard FastTrack TheScore TheTrend RealRisk TheShRatio TheSoRatio TheDrawdown



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Notice: Your use of this site is considered evidence that you accept our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, and is considered equivalent to your signature. AlphaDroid, Merlyn.AI, True Sector Rotation, StormGuard-Armor, Polymorphic Momentum, AlphaSheet, Dual Defense, Bull-Rider Bear-Fighter, SectorSurfer, and Temporal Portfolio Theory are registered trademarks of SumGrowth, Inc. All materials copyrighted 2024 SumGrowth, Inc. Neither SumGrowth, Inc. nor its AlphaDroid automated investment analysis tool provides financial investment advice specific to anyone's life situation. SumGrowth, Inc. is not a registered investment advisor. Modeled strategy and portfolio performance is hypothetical and does not include fees associated with your account or trading. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. The market's character can and does react to evolving world events in new ways. Losses can and will occur over time when markets behave unexpectedly. AlphaDroid is limited to the private and non-commercial use of its professional financial advisor subscribers and their clients as described further on the Terms of Use page.